Essential 40 Stock ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:15.42% (+3.60%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9463 | 3.82 | |
| 0.1981 | 1.27 | |
| 0.6270 | 3.40 | |
| -0.6674 | -0.69 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 21, 2024 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 21, 2024 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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