Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:13.94% (-0.35%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2707 | 9.32 | |
| 0.0603 | 6.22 | |
| 0.9225 | 79.35 | |
| 0.0021 | 2.91 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 29, 2008 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 29, 2008 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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