Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:15.70% (-0.33%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3868 | 9.81 | |
| 0.0615 | 6.05 | |
| 0.9167 | 71.25 | |
| 0.0060 | 2.87 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 29, 2008 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 29, 2008 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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