V-Lab
Digital Currency X Technology Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
1,103.30%
decreased by 151.06%
1 Week
1,102.20%
decreased by 152.16%
1 Month
1,097.81%
decreased by 156.55%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 7, 2021 to Sep 11, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Unreliable tails: v = 2.01 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.9653 | 1.45 |
| αARCH | 0.1097 | 14.42*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9990 | 19.82*** |
| νDF | 2.0055 | 819.59*** |
0.999
Persistence693d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.9653 | 1.45 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1097 | 14.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9990 | 19.82*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0055 | 819.59*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
693 days
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