Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Digital Currency X Technology Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

147.44%

decreased by 3.56%

1 Week

148.25%

decreased by 2.75%

1 Month

150.89%

decreased by 0.11%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Digital Currency X Technology Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 7, 2021 to Sep 11, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9141
37.88***
γleverage0.1061
2.45**
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
0.21
λ₂forecast adj.0.0047
0.11
λ₃tau persistence0.8974
1.94*

0.967

Persistence

21d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9141
37.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1061
2.45**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.21
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0047
0.11
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8974
1.94*

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

21 days