V-Lab
Digital Currency X Technology Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
147.44%
decreased by 3.56%
1 Week
148.25%
decreased by 2.75%
1 Month
150.89%
decreased by 0.11%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 7, 2021 to Sep 11, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9141 | 37.88*** |
| γleverage | 0.1061 | 2.45** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 0.21 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0047 | 0.11 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.8974 | 1.94* |
0.967
Persistence21d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9141 | 37.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1061 | 2.45** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.21 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0047 | 0.11 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8974 | 1.94* |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
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