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V-Lab

CoastalSouth Bancshares Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

23.47%

increased by 8.94%

1 Week

20.17%

increased by 5.64%

1 Month

18.99%

increased by 4.46%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of CoastalSouth Bancshares Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 2, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.84 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3729
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3556
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3315
0.00
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.8407
0.00

Persistence:

0.331

Half-life:

1 days