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V-Lab

Cellnex Telecom SAU MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

30.75%

increased by 3.69%

1 Week

30.50%

increased by 3.44%

1 Month

30.00%

increased by 2.94%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cellnex Telecom SAU MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 7, 2015 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 248% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0428
6.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7441
44.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1061
12.85***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.2928
0.26
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5635
0.26
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.840

Half-life:

4 days