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Cellnex Telecom SAU MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

25.05%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Week

26.50%

increased by 0.93%

1 Month

28.89%

increased by 3.32%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 07:58 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cellnex Telecom SAU MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 7, 2015 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 276% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 276% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0387
2.00**
βGARCH0.7544
13.65***
γleverage0.1070
3.79***
λ₁tau intercept1.3187
1.71*
λ₂forecast adj.0.5591
1.97**
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.847

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0387
2.00**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7544
13.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1070
3.79***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.3187
1.71*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5591
1.97**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.847

Half-life:

4 days