V-Lab
Cellnex Telecom SAU MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
25.31%
decreased by 1.24%
1 Week
26.44%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
27.71%
increased by 1.16%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:47 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 7, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 251% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0426 | 6.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7432 | 44.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1071 | 12.99*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.2957 | 0.26 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5646 | 0.26 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.839
Half-life:
4 days
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