V-Lab
Cellnex Telecom SAU MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
30.75%
increased by 3.69%
1 Week
30.50%
increased by 3.44%
1 Month
30.00%
increased by 2.94%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 7, 2015 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 248% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0428 | 6.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7441 | 44.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1061 | 12.85*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.2928 | 0.26 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5635 | 0.26 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.840
Half-life:
4 days
Other Cellnex Telecom SAU Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities