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V-Lab

Calidi Biotherapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

94.40%

decreased by 5.02%

1 Week

125.40%

increased by 25.98%

1 Month

619.64%

increased by 520.22%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Calidi Biotherapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 3381 trading days (~13.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 362% more than negative returns

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6381
11.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6117
31.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-6.25***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
6.86***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0890
4.41***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9110
35.73***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3381 days