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V-Lab

Calidi Biotherapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

153.07%

decreased by 16.15%

1 Week

810.59%

increased by 641.37%

1 Month

3,030,520.75%

increased by 3,030,351.53%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Calidi Biotherapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 10, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5487
1.75*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1775
2.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
0.79
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.62
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
0.45
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days