V-Lab
Calidi Biotherapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
153.07%
decreased by 16.15%
1 Week
810.59%
increased by 641.37%
1 Month
3,030,520.75%
increased by 3,030,351.53%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 10, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5487 | 1.75* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1775 | 2.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 0.79 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.62 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 0.45 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
29 days
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