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{name} Model Equation

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Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	21
αARCH	0.6413	3.76***
βGARCH	0.6085	8.24***
γleverage	-0.5000	-2.16**
λ₁tau intercept	10.0000	1.02
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0873	1.51
λ₃tau persistence	0.9127	18.06***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	21
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.6413	3.76***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.6085	8.24***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.5000	-2.16**
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	1.02
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0873	1.51
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9127	18.06***

V-Lab

Calidi Biotherapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Calidi Biotherapeutics Inc Analyses