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V-Lab

Doubleline Shiller Cape US Equities ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

15.22%

increased by 0.33%

1 Week

15.53%

increased by 0.64%

1 Month

16.61%

increased by 1.72%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Doubleline Shiller Cape US Equities ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 11, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0343
14.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0221
4.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8357
171.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2521
21.04***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days