V-Lab
Moreld AS GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
33.67%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Week
34.79%
increased by 0.69%
1 Month
36.54%
increased by 2.44%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 27, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8740 | 7.31*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0403 | 2.53** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7775 | 26.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0543 | 1.93* |
Persistence:
0.845
Half-life:
4 days
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