Moreld AS MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
31.27%
increased by 10.23%
1 Week
30.36%
increased by 9.32%
1 Month
28.14%
increased by 7.10%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 27, 2024 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2272 | 4.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3395 | 8.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5705 | 25.28*** |
Persistence:
0.910
Half-life:
7 days
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