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V-Lab

Moreld AS Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

20.02%

decreased by 2.20%

1 Week

21.25%

decreased by 0.97%

1 Month

24.08%

increased by 1.86%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Moreld AS AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 27, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 62% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2274
11.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2731
10.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5675
27.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1697
2.82***

Persistence:

0.925

Half-life:

9 days