Moreld AS Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
20.02%
decreased by 2.20%
1 Week
21.25%
decreased by 0.97%
1 Month
24.08%
increased by 1.86%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 27, 2024 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 62% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2274 | 11.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2731 | 10.26*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5675 | 27.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1697 | 2.82*** |
Persistence:
0.925
Half-life:
9 days
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