Skip to main content
V-Lab

Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

40.21%

decreased by 1.08%

1 Week

41.82%

increased by 0.53%

1 Month

44.62%

increased by 3.33%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1994 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2593
1.64
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1528
8.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7135
22.44***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.2559
-4.20***
γ20.2857
3.86***
γ3-0.0237
-0.75
γ4-0.0028
-0.12
γ50.0149
0.65
γ6-0.0228
-1.12
γ7-0.0015
-0.11

Persistence:

0.866

Half-life:

5 days