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V-Lab

Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

48.30%

decreased by 1.19%

1 Week

48.69%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Month

49.91%

increased by 0.42%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Aselsan Elektronik Sanayi Ve Ticaret AS GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1994 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4027
7.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0631
7.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8928
100.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0179
1.72*

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days