AltShares Merger Arbitrage ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:2.22% (-0.50%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.6549 | 4.18 | |
| 0.2605 | 2.09 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 10.7502 | 4.12 | |
| -13.4265 | -2.75 | |
| 5.0963 | 1.04 | |
| -5.3489 | -1.40 | |
| 5.3929 | 1.58 | |
| -6.5537 | -1.31 | |
| 8.8490 | 1.60 | |
| -7.5471 | -1.93 | |
| 2.8319 | 1.12 | |
| 0.7392 | 0.36 |
Estimation Period:
May 7, 2020 to Feb 13, 2026
May 7, 2020 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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