AltShares Merger Arbitrage ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:3.08% (-0.39%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7092 | 4.26 | |
| 0.2570 | 2.05 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 11.1121 | 4.30 | |
| -13.9719 | -2.88 | |
| 5.3934 | 1.10 | |
| -5.5405 | -1.45 | |
| 5.5102 | 1.62 | |
| -6.5340 | -1.30 | |
| 8.5056 | 1.54 | |
| -6.5851 | -1.69 | |
| 0.6438 | 0.23 | |
| 6.4330 | 1.54 |
Estimation Period:
May 7, 2020 to Feb 13, 2026
May 7, 2020 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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