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V-Lab

State Street Bridgewater All Weather ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

12.49%

decreased by 1.95%

1 Week

13.02%

decreased by 1.42%

1 Month

13.32%

decreased by 1.12%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of State Street Bridgewater All Weather ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3006
5.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0360
0.78
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3844
6.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3184
2.43**

Persistence:

0.580

Half-life:

1 days