iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:3.52% (+0.03%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9912 | 6.45 | |
| 0.0783 | 7.76 | |
| 0.9111 | 92.24 | |
| 0.0002 | 0.38 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 29, 2003 to Feb 6, 2026
Sep 29, 2003 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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