iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:3.31% (+0.14%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2787 | 7.41 | |
| 0.0781 | 5.29 | |
| 0.8813 | 50.10 | |
| 0.1466 | 4.24 | |
| -0.2480 | -4.49 | |
| 0.1816 | 4.09 | |
| -0.1364 | -3.19 | |
| 0.1849 | 3.76 | |
| -0.3961 | -5.24 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 29, 2003 to Feb 6, 2026
Sep 29, 2003 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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