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V-Lab

Adani Green Energy MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

37.98%

increased by 0.80%

1 Week

43.36%

increased by 6.18%

1 Month

50.31%

increased by 13.13%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Adani Green Energy MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 45% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1935
11.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5735
24.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0871
4.59***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.9149
0.13
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1178
0.12
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.811

Half-life:

3 days