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V-Lab

Nj Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

27.88%

increased by 0.31%

1 Week

32.91%

increased by 5.34%

1 Month

38.75%

increased by 11.18%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nj Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 21, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 115% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3689
25.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5387
45.75***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1973
-11.83***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0065
0.52
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0051
2.87***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9943
439.94***

Persistence:

0.809

Half-life:

3 days