Polaris Group Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
48.67%
decreased by 5.98%
1 Week
49.58%
decreased by 5.07%
1 Month
50.81%
decreased by 3.84%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 08:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3050 | 4.42 | |
| 0.1851 | 5.18 | |
| 0.6217 | 9.74 | |
| 3.4970 | 4.41 | |
| -6.0282 | -4.03 | |
| 4.3983 | 2.66 | |
| -2.6167 | -2.07 | |
| 0.2850 | 0.35 | |
| 1.1030 | 1.53 | |
| -1.4335 | -1.48 | |
| 1.6937 | 1.63 | |
| -1.0936 | -1.39 | |
| 0.0892 | 0.19 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 15, 2016 to May 15, 2026
Feb 15, 2016 to May 15, 2026
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