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V-Lab

Shanghai Milkground Food Tech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

47.74%

decreased by 0.67%

1 Week

47.66%

decreased by 0.75%

1 Month

46.51%

decreased by 1.90%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Milkground Food Tech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 13, 1995 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 54% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0836
29.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8722
210.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0293
-10.73***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5874
2.75***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7807
5.14***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1547
0.87

Persistence:

0.941

Half-life:

11 days