V-Lab
Shanghai Milkground Food Tech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
47.74%
1 Week
47.66%
1 Month
46.51%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 13, 1995 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 54% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0836 | 29.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8722 | 210.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0293 | -10.73*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.5874 | 2.75*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7807 | 5.14*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1547 | 0.87 |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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