Skip to main content
V-Lab

Shanghai Milkground Food Tech Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

47.03%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

46.69%

decreased by 0.75%

1 Month

45.56%

decreased by 1.88%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Milkground Food Tech Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 13, 1995 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 24 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5192
3.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0788
9.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8922
70.30***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.0033
-0.05
γ20.0742
0.80
γ3-0.0713
-1.02
γ4-0.0483
-0.80
γ5-0.0072
-0.12
γ60.2313
3.68***
γ7-0.3209
-5.21***
γ80.1904
4.10***

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days