V-Lab
Zhejiang Benli Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
43.31%
increased by 13.39%
1 Week
43.50%
increased by 13.58%
1 Month
43.46%
increased by 13.54%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 14, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1879 | 17.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7110 | 68.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0114 | 0.67 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.5457 | 7.07*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7519 | 21.75*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.905
Half-life:
7 days
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