V-Lab
Jiawei Renewable Energy Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
66.54%
1 Week
67.50%
1 Month
66.86%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 11, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 66% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1886 | 8.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2373 | 2.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0749 | -4.14*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.5046 | 0.32 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3515 | 0.34 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4760 | 0.30 |
Persistence:
0.388
Half-life:
1 days
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