Jiawei Renewable Energy Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
60.32%
1 Week
58.59%
1 Month
57.90%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 11, 2012 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 68% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1906 | 7.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2061 | 2.52** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0774 | -4.11*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.5642 | 0.30 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3625 | 0.32 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4568 | 0.26 |
Persistence:
0.358
Half-life:
1 days
Other Jiawei Renewable Energy Co Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities