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V-Lab

Jiawei Renewable Energy Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

66.54%

decreased by 4.14%

1 Week

67.50%

decreased by 3.18%

1 Month

66.86%

decreased by 3.82%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Jiawei Renewable Energy Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 11, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 66% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1886
8.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2373
2.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0749
-4.14***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.5046
0.32
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3515
0.34
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4760
0.30

Persistence:

0.388

Half-life:

1 days