Genfleet Therapeutics Shang MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
91.09%
decreased by 11.21%
1 Week
115.77%
increased by 13.47%
1 Month
132.55%
increased by 30.25%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 19, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 231% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2164 | 99.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 87.54*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.9893 | 3.32*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3760 | 2.64*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6240 | 5.16*** |
Persistence:
0.466
Half-life:
1 days
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