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V-Lab

Genfleet Therapeutics Shang MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

91.09%

decreased by 11.21%

1 Week

115.77%

increased by 13.47%

1 Month

132.55%

increased by 30.25%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Genfleet Therapeutics Shang MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 19, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 231% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2164
99.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
87.54***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.9893
3.32***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3760
2.64***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6240
5.16***

Persistence:

0.466

Half-life:

1 days