V-Lab
Genfleet Therapeutics Shang GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
80.93%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Week
81.46%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
82.67%
increased by 1.31%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 19, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.59 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 28.0774 | 3.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1151 | 2.31** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9110 | 58.50*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 8.5859 | 0.45 |
Persistence:
0.911
Half-life:
7 days
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