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V-Lab

Genfleet Therapeutics Shang GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

92.20%

decreased by 11.33%

1 Week

91.54%

decreased by 11.99%

1 Month

89.85%

decreased by 13.68%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Genfleet Therapeutics Shang GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 19, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 10.24 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

30.1699
4.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1444
3.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9282
71.06***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

10.2366
0.50

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days