Genfleet Therapeutics Shang GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
92.20%
decreased by 11.33%
1 Week
91.54%
decreased by 11.99%
1 Month
89.85%
decreased by 13.68%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 19, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 10.24 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 30.1699 | 4.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1444 | 3.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9282 | 71.06*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 10.2366 | 0.50 |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
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