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V-Lab

Genfleet Therapeutics Shang GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

80.93%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Week

81.46%

increased by 0.10%

1 Month

82.67%

increased by 1.31%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Genfleet Therapeutics Shang GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 19, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.59 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

28.0774
3.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1151
2.31**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9110
58.50***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

8.5859
0.45

Persistence:

0.911

Half-life:

7 days