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V-Lab

Marketingforce Management MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

75.05%

decreased by 4.71%

1 Week

80.40%

increased by 0.64%

1 Month

81.72%

increased by 1.96%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Marketingforce Management MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 16, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3405
4.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1043
2.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3405
-4.04***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

7.6044
0.05
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0392
0.06
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6535
0.10

Persistence:

0.275

Half-life:

1 days