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V-Lab

Phihong Technology MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

50.03%

increased by 0.66%

1 Week

52.14%

increased by 2.77%

1 Month

52.63%

increased by 3.26%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:42 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Phihong Technology MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 21, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 38% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1179
21.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5591
31.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0444
6.78***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3855
0.88
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1782
1.05
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7724
3.36***

Persistence:

0.699

Half-life:

2 days