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V-Lab

Phihong Technology MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

52.77%

increased by 4.63%

1 Week

53.38%

increased by 5.24%

1 Month

53.61%

increased by 5.47%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 08:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Phihong Technology MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 21, 2001 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 38% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1186
21.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5584
31.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0456
6.93***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3831
0.88
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1754
1.05
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7755
3.44***

Persistence:

0.700

Half-life:

2 days