V-Lab
Yestar Healthcare Holdings Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
90.23%
increased by 11.89%
1 Week
93.42%
increased by 15.08%
1 Month
101.89%
increased by 23.55%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 14, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 33% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2866 | 14.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4985 | 27.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0939 | 2.66*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0208 | 1.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0258 | 3.86*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9742 | 102.17*** |
Persistence:
0.832
Half-life:
4 days
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