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V-Lab

LigaChem Biosciences Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

92.73%

increased by 2.86%

1 Week

93.11%

increased by 3.24%

1 Month

91.29%

increased by 1.42%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of LigaChem Biosciences Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2013 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 177% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0552
2.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3151
4.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0977
6.17***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.0046
0.17
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7357
0.17
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.419

Half-life:

1 days