V-Lab
LigaChem Biosciences Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
92.73%
increased by 2.86%
1 Week
93.11%
increased by 3.24%
1 Month
91.29%
increased by 1.42%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 10, 2013 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 177% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0552 | 2.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3151 | 4.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0977 | 6.17*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.0046 | 0.17 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7357 | 0.17 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.419
Half-life:
1 days
Other LigaChem Biosciences Inc Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities