V-Lab
LigaChem Biosciences Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
89.35%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Week
88.37%
decreased by 1.48%
1 Month
84.90%
decreased by 4.95%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:10 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 10, 2013 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 31 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9050 | 8.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0405 | 3.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9374 | 57.37*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0013 | -0.90 |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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