V-Lab
Daehan Steel Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
46.72%
increased by 4.83%
1 Week
47.30%
increased by 5.41%
1 Month
48.77%
increased by 6.88%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 2005 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 83% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0616 | 10.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7722 | 66.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0508 | 8.17*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.9620 | 0.26 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7320 | 0.26 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.859
Half-life:
5 days
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