V-Lab
Kwang Dong Pharmaceutical Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
40.32%
decreased by 1.30%
1 Week
44.26%
increased by 2.64%
1 Month
48.54%
increased by 6.92%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:46 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1627 | 27.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6409 | 51.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0192 | -1.94* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.7435 | 1.41 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3475 | 1.46 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5683 | 1.94* |
Persistence:
0.794
Half-life:
3 days
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