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V-Lab

Kwang Dong Pharmaceutical Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

40.32%

decreased by 1.30%

1 Week

44.26%

increased by 2.64%

1 Month

48.54%

increased by 6.92%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:46 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kwang Dong Pharmaceutical Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1627
27.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6409
51.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0192
-1.94*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.7435
1.41
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3475
1.46
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5683
1.94*

Persistence:

0.794

Half-life:

3 days