V-Lab
Kwang Dong Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
35.25%
decreased by 2.17%
1 Week
36.09%
decreased by 1.33%
1 Month
38.27%
increased by 0.85%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:44 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7513 | 8.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1291 | 9.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8065 | 38.74*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | 0.0031 | 0.35 |
| γ2 | -0.0288 | -2.04** |
| γ3 | 0.0401 | 3.50*** |
| γ4 | -0.0115 | -0.82 |
| γ5 | -0.0055 | -0.42 |
Persistence:
0.936
Half-life:
10 days
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