V-Lab
Sichuan Haite High-tech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
48.14%
decreased by 0.31%
1 Week
49.08%
increased by 0.63%
1 Month
51.00%
increased by 2.55%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 21, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0856 | 21.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8228 | 71.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0036 | 0.78 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1213 | 2.95*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0394 | 2.77*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9472 | 51.20*** |
Persistence:
0.910
Half-life:
7 days
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