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Gree Electric Appliances Inc of Zhuhai MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

22.85%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Week

23.11%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Month

23.93%

increased by 0.38%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gree Electric Appliances Inc of Zhuhai MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 18, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 85% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 85% more than negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.0898
6.81***
βGARCH0.8987
76.95***
γleverage-0.0414
-2.24**
λ₁tau intercept0.0059
0.73
λ₂forecast adj.0.0073
1.40
λ₃tau persistence0.9914
164.85***

0.968

Persistence

21d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0898
6.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8987
76.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0414
-2.24**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0059
0.73
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0073
1.40
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9914
164.85***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days