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Teekay Corp Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

5,232.24

decreased by 79.80

1 Week

5,013.54

decreased by 298.50

1 Month

4,101.41

decreased by 1,210.63

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Teekay Corp Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 20, 1995 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99021 trading days (~392.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0399
5.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0838
1.21
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9162
13.25***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0182
-0.20
γ20.0253
0.25

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

99021 days