Teekay Corp Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
5,232.24
decreased by 79.80
1 Week
5,013.54
decreased by 298.50
1 Month
4,101.41
decreased by 1,210.63
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 20, 1995 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99021 trading days (~392.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0399 | 5.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0838 | 1.21 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9162 | 13.25*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.0182 | -0.20 |
| γ2 | 0.0253 | 0.25 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
99021 days
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