Teekay Corp Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
5,110.57
1 Week
4,943.03
1 Month
4,130.69
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 20, 1995 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1098 | 0.91 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8011 | 20.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1098 | -0.40 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.3083 | 1.36 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0776 | 1.78* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9209 | 20.79*** |
Persistence:
0.856
Half-life:
4 days
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