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UBS (CH) Property Fund - Direct LivingPlus Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

3,797.63

decreased by 227.51

1 Week

4,108.24

increased by 83.10

1 Month

4,057.17

increased by 32.03

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of UBS (CH) Property Fund - Direct LivingPlus ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 6, 2007 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.9737
13.41***
αARCH0.1138
10.19***
βGARCH0.8204
40.78***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0041
3.50***

0.934

Persistence

10d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9737
13.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1138
10.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8204
40.78***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0041
3.50***

Persistence:

0.934

Half-life:

10 days