Skip to main content
V-Lab

Kilima FIC FII Suno30 Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

20,010.86

decreased by 678.11

1 Week

20,816.78

increased by 127.81

1 Month

19,976.09

decreased by 712.88

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:00 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kilima FIC FII Suno30 ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 18, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 113 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1551
6.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0559
4.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9379
57.31***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0677
-0.31

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

113 days