V-Lab
Kilima FIC FII Suno30 ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
17,869.71
decreased by 564.07
1 Week
18,545.80
increased by 112.02
1 Month
17,825.83
decreased by 607.95
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:00 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 18, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 53 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 53 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0478 | 24.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9392 | 300.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0002 | -0.21 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10,251.9100 |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
53 days
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