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Kilima FIC FII Suno30 ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

17,869.71

decreased by 564.07

1 Week

18,545.80

increased by 112.02

1 Month

17,825.83

decreased by 607.95

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:00 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kilima FIC FII Suno30 ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 18, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 53 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 53 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0478
24.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9392
300.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0002
-0.21
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10,251.9100

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

53 days