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V-Lab

Intech Online Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026

1 Day

12,001.56

increased by 11,068.35

1 Week

3,327.09

increased by 2,393.88

1 Month

1,682.24

increased by 749.03

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 05:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Intech Online Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 8, 2009 to Jul 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 837 trading days (~3.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3704
5.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3118
7.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6874
16.97***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.9310
-1.07
γ21.2634
1.04
γ3-5.1413
-1.88*
γ414.8661
1.92*
γ5-17.7047
-1.91*
γ611.9585
1.90*
γ7-13.9490
-1.55
γ823.6291
1.55

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

837 days