Focus Lighting And Fixtures Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
8,136.23
increased by 3,609.16
1 Week
5,622.55
increased by 1,095.48
1 Month
2,788.15
decreased by 1,738.92
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 16, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 29 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1201 | 4.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1875 | 5.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7890 | 24.93*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -1.1919 | -3.30*** |
| γ2 | 0.5371 | 0.85 |
| γ3 | 2.4463 | 4.01*** |
| γ4 | -3.1319 | -4.75*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
29 days
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