FireFly Metals Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, April 16th, 2026
1 Day
5,457.47
decreased by 31.08
1 Week
6,178.88
increased by 690.33
1 Month
7,258.71
increased by 1,770.16
Analysis last updated: Thursday, April 16, 2026 at 05:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2637 | 0.00 | |
| 0.2162 | 0.00 | |
| 0.7838 | 0.00 | |
| 1.8747 | 0.00 | |
| -4.3825 | 0.00 | |
| 3.4389 | 0.01 | |
| -0.9780 | -0.01 | |
| -0.3069 | 0.00 | |
| 1.0336 | 0.00 | |
| -5.4618 | -0.01 | |
| 11.9618 | 0.01 | |
| -10.8703 | 0.00 | |
| 4.7289 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 21, 2005 to Apr 10, 2026
Sep 21, 2005 to Apr 10, 2026
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