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V-Lab

Edinburgh Worldwide Investment Trust PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

6,528.14

increased by 2,771.68

1 Week

4,084.69

increased by 328.23

1 Month

2,675.55

decreased by 1,080.91

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Edinburgh Worldwide Investment Trust PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 29 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9842
5.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1107
8.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8653
66.86***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.2766
-3.71***
γ20.3546
3.11***
γ3-0.1392
-2.09**
γ40.1963
4.12***
γ5-0.2820
-5.03***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days