Edinburgh Worldwide Investment Trust PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
6,711.28
1 Week
4,213.51
1 Month
2,865.99
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1033 | 0.16 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8013 | 82.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1033 | -0.08 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.55 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5254 | 0.30 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4746 | 0.31 |
Persistence:
0.853
Half-life:
4 days
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