V-Lab
Caixa Rio Bravo Fundo de Fundos de Investimento Imobiliario Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
6,801,859.00
decreased by 775,793.00
1 Week
7,422,588.80
decreased by 155,063.20
1 Month
7,573,114.38
decreased by 4,537.62
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2895 | 3.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0756 | 3.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8701 | 28.73*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.2985 | -2.21** |
| γ2 | 0.7485 | 3.98*** |
| γ3 | -0.8027 | -4.20*** |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
12 days
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