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Caixa Rio Bravo Fundo de Fundos de Investimento Imobiliario Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

16,169,090.00

decreased by 614,720.00

1 Week

17,763,276.00

increased by 979,466.00

1 Month

21,437,980.00

increased by 4,654,170.00

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 04:33 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Caixa Rio Bravo Fundo de Fundos de Investimento Imobiliario ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 9, 2014 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.00
αARCH0.0421
2.78***
βGARCH0.9490
101.49***
γleverage0.0178
0.42

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0421
2.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9490
101.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0178
0.42

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-